Abstract 3420: Clinical prognostic factors in adult with astrocytoma: Historic cohort

Introduction: Malignant tumors of the central nervous system contribute extremely to cancer mortality especially in the high risk age groups. In USA are the second and the fifth leading cause of cancer mortality in men and women aged 20 to 39 years respectively. Astrocytomas are the most common and lethal tumors of the CNS, being the most common grade IV (glioblastoma) (4.37 per 100,000 population). The prognosis of astrocytomas can be predicted by specific clinical factors allowing neurosurgeons and neuro-oncologists to define the best treatment for each patient. Some patients’ features like age, gender, performance status and tumor localization have been studied as potential prognostic factors. In Mexico there are few reports on demographic, clinical characteristics and prognostic factors in adults. Objective: To explore the clinical prognostic factors for adults affected with astrocytoma Methods: Using a historic cohort, we selected by simple randomization, 155 clinical files from patients with astrocytoma. The main outcome variable was overall survival time (OS). To identify clinical prognosis factors we used: bivariate analysis, Cox regression models, log rank test and Kaplan-Meier survival function. Results: The mean age at diagnosis was 45.7 years. Compared with other studies, our population was 15 years younger when diagnosed. Analysis by stage in grade II, III and IV also showed a younger age of presentation. The OS was 15 months, 9% (n = 14) presented a survival of 2 years and 3% of 3 years. Kaplan-Meier survival estimate showed that the variables grade, Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS)>70, the type of resection, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, alcohol consumption, familiar history of cancer and clinical presentation were significantly associated to survival time. Using proportional Hazard Model the variables: age, grade IV, resection, chemotherapy + radiotherapy and KPS where prognosis factors. Conclusion: Astrocytoma in our study was present in young adults. The OS was 15 months, 9% (n = 14) presented a survival of 2 years and 3% of 3 years. The variables alcoholism, family history of cancer and clinical presentation influenced significantly survival time, and showed a tendency in the mortality analyses. Citation Format: Talia Wegman-Ostrosky, Nancy Reynoso Noveron, Sonia Iliana Mejia-Perez, Thalia Estefania Sanchez-Correa MD, Rosa Maria Alvarez, Bernardo Cacho, Luis A. Montalvo, Teresita Corona. Clinical prognostic factors in adult with astrocytoma: Historic cohort. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr 3420.