Contribution of a constellation of two Wide-Swath Altimetry Missions to Global Ocean Analysis and Forecasting

Abstract. Swath altimetry is likely to revolutionize our ability to monitor and forecast ocean dynamics. To meet the requirements of the EU Copernicus Marine Service, a constellation of two wide-swath altimeters is envisioned for the long-term (post-2030) evolution of the Copernicus Sentinel 3 topography mission. A series of Observing System Simulation Experiments is carried out to quantify the expected performances. The OSSEs use a state-of-the-art high resolution (1/12°) global ocean data assimilation system similar to the one used operationally by the Copernicus Marine Service. Flying a constellation of two wide-swath altimeters will provide a major improvement of our capabilities to monitor and forecast the oceans. Compared to the present situation with 3 nadir altimeters flying simultaneously, the Sea Surface Height analysis and 7-day forecast error will be globally reduced by about 50 %. With two wide-swath altimeters, the quality of Sea Surface Height 7-day forecasts is equivalent to the quality of SSH analysis errors from three nadir altimeters. Our understanding of ocean currents is also greatly improved (30 % improvements at the surface and 50 % at 300 m depth). The resolution capabilities will be drastically improved and will be closer to 100 km wavelength compared to about 250 km today. Flying a constellation of two wide-swath altimeters thus looks to be a very promising solution for the long-term evolution of the Sentinel 3 constellation and the Copernicus Marine Service.