Trend Analysis of Building Power Consumption Based on Prophet Algorithm

There are many influencing factors of building electricity consumption, such as weather, season, time, economy and electricity price, which have the characteristics of certain linear and periodic changes, and have strong random changes. In this paper a novel prophet algorithm was proposed to do trend analysis of building power consumption. By comparing the prediction results of Prophet algorithm and ARIMA algorithm, prophet algorithm has better prediction results in terms of prediction and can add the date and time that affect the building. The simulation results show that the comprehensive power consumption of shopping malls is affected by holidays to some extent, but also by high temperature weather to some extent. The comprehensive power consumption of office buildings is relatively less affected by holidays and high temperature weather to some extent.