Decisioning between scenario schools in health

MOJ Current Research & Reviews(2018)

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摘要
Purpose Scenario is the most important method in Futures Studies and improper use of Scenarios can undermine the credibility and claims of the results of the Futures Studies Varieties of Scenario types exist and we want to know whether these scenarios are used appropriately in Health field or not Design For this study a combination qualitative method based on survey and Historical Comparative and Discourse Analysis is extracted to accommodate needs of the health sector with capabilities of the main type of Scenarios Findings Scenario planning has evolved along with Futures Studies paradigms and Trend based Scenarios Intuitive Logic and Structural Analysis Approaches have the most uses in futures scenario and health section Quantitative techniques which are close to the positivist paradigm most widely used and participatory methods of Futures Studies paradigm have the lowest usage in the Health sector Health Scenario writing in its current state is targeting short to medium term futures and do not responsive all requirements It should be considered other backup methods especially in ways that deepening making images and create the norm Originality There are different Schools in Scenario field and each has their own distinct approach According to the paper based on the Time Horizon Scoping and Research needs appropriate type of Scenario could be chosen
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