Similar Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Systemic Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis and Adult-Onset Still’s Disease Treated with Canakinumab: Bayesian and Population Model-Based Analyses

Introduction Systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (sJIA) and adult-onset Still’s disease (AOSD) represent pediatric and adult variants of the Still’s disease continuum. To determine whether clinical outcomes between patients with sJIA and AOSD were similar, Bayesian and population model-based analyses were conducted on endpoints from studies of canakinumab in both patient populations. The objective was to further support the efficacy of canakinumab in patients with AOSD. Methods A Bayesian analysis of endpoints from a study of canakinumab in AOSD was conducted borrowing information from five pooled sJIA studies using a robust meta-analytic predictive (MAP) approach. Similarity of clinical outcomes across populations was fulfilled if the AOSD study posterior median fell within the 95% predicted credible interval for the outcome of interest, based on the pooled sJIA data. Population model-based analyses (pharmacokinetic [PK] and PK/pharmacodynamic [PKPD]) were conducted to compare the pharmacokinetics and exposure–response relationships between populations. Results The AOSD study posterior medians for adapted American College of Rheumatology (ACR)30 response, continuous adapted ACR response, number of active joints, C-reactive protein, and absence of fever were within the 95% credible interval for the prediction of the MAP analysis from the pooled sJIA data, supporting the similarity in outcomes between patient populations. PK analysis demonstrated comparable exposure across sJIA age groups and patients with AOSD. PKPD relationships were consistent across patient populations. Analyses indicated that no therapeutic benefit can be expected from a dose increase in patients with AOSD. Conclusion The analyses presented support the similarity of clinical outcomes following treatment with canakinumab in patients with sJIA and AOSD.