The Interannual Trend And Preliminary Quantitative Estimation Of The Oceans Condition In The Bohai Sea Area

After different frequency observed temperature data of Bohai sea marine observation stations was analyzed, results showed that daily average sea surface temperature value obtained from 3-hour-observations (08h, 14h, 20h) which was slightly lower than that from 24-houro-bservations. The general gap was within 0.10 degrees C, while the value was 0.05 degrees C for the monthly mean temperature. Daily average sea surface temperature values of 3-hour-observations have a little effect both in statistical properties and the accuracy of statistical data, which does not affect the representativeness of the data. It can be used in studying long time series problems. Analyzing the trend of the SST data changes in 1960-2012 and the SAT data changes in 1965-2012 by using the linear tendency estimate and cumulative distance square method, it can prove that SST annual variation rate was 0.010 degrees C/a, with a total increase of 0.53 degrees C in last 53 years; and SAT annual variation rate was 0.043 degrees C/a, with a total increase of 2.06 degrees C in last 48 years. Although the long-term trend of these two factors is significantly increased, but there was a significant mutation around 1987. From 1960 to 1987, it had a downward trend, after 1987 it began to grow, the upward trend has not diminished until 2009.