Weekly Assessment Of The Covid-19 Pandemic And Risk Of Importation - China, March 25, 2020

Along with the announcement of COVID-19 as a global pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on March 12, 2020, COVID-19 appeared to be spreading rapidly around the world. By 10:00 CET on March 25, 2020, a total of 331,619 confirmed cases and 15,146 deaths were reported from 195 foreign countries and regions on 6 continents plus the Diamond Princess international cruise ship, and among them, 124 countries and regions had local transmission. Cumulatively, the WHO website reported 15,918 confirmed COVID-19 cases from 16 countries and regions in the Western Pacific excluding China, 220,516 cases from 60 countries and regions in Europe, 2,344 cases from 10 countries and regions in South-East Asia, 29,631 cases from 21 countries and regions in the Eastern Mediterranean, 60,834 cases from 48 countries and regions in the Americas, and 1,664 cases from 39 countries and regions in Africa (1).In this report, using data and information on the websites of governmental agencies, international organizations, professional platforms and mainstream media, the COVID-19 trend in the context of the world was predicted and the risk of case importation into China was analyzed with the help of mathematic modeling.