Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2016: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Christina Fitzmaurice,Christine Allen,Ryan M. Barber,Lars Barregard,Zulfiqar A. Bhutta,Hermann Brenner, Daniel J. Dicker,Odgerel Chimed-Orchir,Rakhi Dandona,Lalit Dandona,Tom Fleming,Mohammad H. Forouzanfar,Jamie Hancock,Roderick J. Hay,Rachel Hunter-Merrill,Chantal Huynh,H. Dean Hosgood,Catherine O. Johnson,Jost B. Jonas,Jagdish Khubchandani,G. Anil Kumar,Michael Kutz,Qing Lan,Heidi J. Larson,Xiaofeng Liang,Stephen S. Lim,Alan D. Lopez, Michael F. MacIntyre,Laurie Marczak,Neal Marquez,Ali H. Mokdad,Christine Pinho,Farshad Pourmalek,Joshua A. Salomon,Juan Ramon Sanabria,Logan Sandar,Benn Sartorius,Stephen M. Schwartz,Katya A. Shackelford,Kenji Shibuya,Jeff Stanaway,Caitlyn Steiner,Jiandong Sun,Ken Takahashi,Stein Emil Vollset,Theo Vos, Joseph A. Wagner,Haidong Wang,Ronny Westerman,Hajo Zeeb,Leo Zoeckler,Foad Abd-Allah,Muktar Beshir Ahmed,Samer Alabed,Noore K. Alam,Saleh Fahed Aldhahri,Girma Alem,Mulubirhan Assefa Alemayohu,Raghib Ali,Rajaa Al-Raddadi,Azmeraw Amare,Yaw Amoako,Al Artaman,Hamid Asayesh,Niguse Atnafu,Ashish Awasthi, Huda Ba Saleem,Aleksandra Barac,Neeraj Bedi,Isabela Bensenor,Adugnaw Berhane,Eduardo Bernabé,Balem Betsu,Agnes Binagwaho,Dube Boneya,Ismael Campos-Nonato,Carlos Castañeda-Orjuela,Ferrán Catalá-López, Peggy Chiang,Chioma Chibueze,Abdulaal Chitheer,Jee-Young Choi,Benjamin Cowie, Solomon Damtew,José das Neves,Suhojit Dey,Samath Dharmaratne,Preet Dhillon,Eric Ding,Tim Driscoll, Donatus Ekwueme,Aman Yesuf Endries, Maryam Farvid,Farshad Farzadfar,Joao Fernandes,Florian Fischer,Tsegaye Tewelde G, Hiwot, Alemseged Gebru, Sameer Gopalani, Alemayehu Hailu,Masako Horino,Nobuyuki Horita,Abdullatif Husseini,Inge Huybrechts,Manami Inoue,Farhad Islami,Mihajlo Jakovljevic,Spencer James,Mehdi Javanbakht,Sun Ha Jee,Amir Kasaeian,Muktar Sano Kedir,Yousef S. Khader,Young-Ho Khang,Daniel Kim,James Leigh,Shai Linn,Raimundas Lunevicius,Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek,Reza Malekzadeh,Deborah Carvalho Malta,Wagner Marcenes,Desalegn Markos,Yohannes A. Melaku,Kidanu G Meles,Walter Mendoza,Desalegn Tadese Mengiste,Tuomo J. Meretoja,Ted R. Miller,Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad,Alireza Mohammadi,Shafiu Mohammed,Maziar Moradi-Lakeh,Gabriele Nagel,Devina Nand,Quyen Le Nguyen,Sandra Nolte,Felix A. Ogbo, Kelechi E. Oladimeji,Eyal Oren,Mahesh Pa,Eun-Kee Park,David M Pereira, Dietrich Plass,Mostafa Qorbani,Amir Radfar,Anwar Rafay,Mahfuzar Rahman,Saleem M. Rana,Kjetil Søreide,Maheswar Satpathy,Monika Sawhney,Sadaf G. Sepanlou,Masood Ali Shaikh,Jun She,Ivy Shiue, Hirbo Roba Shore,Mark G. Shrime,Samuel So,Samir Soneji,Vasiliki Stathopoulou,Konstantinos Stroumpoulis,Muawiyyah Babale Sufiyan,Bryan L. Sykes,Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos,Fentaw Tadese, Bemnet Amare Tedla,Gizachew Assefa Tessema,J. S. Thakur,Bach Xuan Tran,Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja,Benjamin S. Chudi Uzochukwu,Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov,Elisabete Weiderpass, Mamo Wubshet Terefe, Henock Gebremedhin Yebyo,Hassen Hamid Yimam,Naohiro Yonemoto,Mustafa Z. Younis,Chuanhua Yu,Zoubida Zaidi,Maysaa El Sayed Zaki,Zerihun Menlkalew Zenebe,Christopher J. L. Murray,Mohsen Naghavi

user-5bd69975530c70d56f390249(2018)

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摘要
Importance The increasing burden due to cancer and other noncommunicable diseases poses a threat to human development, which has resulted in global political commitments reflected in the Sustainable Development Goals as well as the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Action Plan on Non-Communicable Diseases. To determine if these commitments have resulted in improved cancer control, quantitative assessments of the cancer burden are required. Objective To assess the burden for 29 cancer groups over time to provide a framework for policy discussion, resource allocation, and research focus. Evidence Review Cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were evaluated for 195 countries and territories by age and sex using the Global Burden of Disease study estimation methods. Levels and trends were analyzed over time, as well as by the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Changes in incident cases were categorized by changes due to epidemiological vs demographic transition. Findings In 2016, there were 17.2 million cancer cases worldwide and 8.9 million deaths. Cancer cases increased by 28% between 2006 and 2016. The smallest increase was seen in high SDI countries. Globally, population aging contributed 17%; population growth, 12%; and changes in age-specific rates, −1% to this change. The most common incident cancer globally for men was prostate cancer (1.4 million cases). The leading cause of cancer deaths and DALYs was tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer (1.2 million deaths and 25.4 million DALYs). For women, the most common incident cancer and the leading cause of cancer deaths and DALYs was breast cancer (1.7 million incident cases, 535 000 deaths, and 14.9 million DALYs). In 2016, cancer caused 213.2 million DALYs globally for both sexes combined. Between 2006 and 2016, the average annual age-standardized incidence rates for all cancers combined increased in 130 of 195 countries or territories, and the average annual age-standardized death rates decreased within that timeframe in 143 of 195 countries or territories. Conclusions and Relevance Large disparities exist between countries in cancer incidence, deaths, and associated disability. Scaling up cancer prevention and ensuring universal access to cancer care are required for health equity and to fulfill the global commitments for noncommunicable disease and cancer control.
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关键词
Disease burden,Cancer prevention,Disability-adjusted life year,Years of potential life lost,Mortality rate,Global health,Population,Breast cancer,Demography,Gerontology,Medicine
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