Serial Monitoring of Circulating Tumor DNA by Next-Generation Gene Sequencing as a Biomarker of Response and Survival in Patients With Advanced NSCLC Receiving Pembrolizumab-Based Therapy

PURPOSE Although the majority of patients with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (mNSCLC) lacking a detectable targetable mutation will receive pembrolizumab-based therapy in the frontline setting, predicting which patients will experience a durable clinical benefit (DCB) remains challenging. MATERIALS AND METHODS Patients with mNSCLC receiving pembrolizumab monotherapy or in combination with chemotherapy underwent a 74-gene next-generation sequencing panel on blood samples obtained at baseline and at 9 weeks. The change in circulating tumor DNA levels on-therapy (molecular response) was quantified using a ratio calculation with response defined by a > 50% decrease in mean variant allele fraction. Patient response was assessed using RECIST 1.1; DCB was defined as complete or partial response or stable disease that lasted > 6 months. Progression-free survival and overall survival were recorded. RESULTS Among 67 patients, 51 (76.1%) had > 1 variant detected at a variant allele fraction > 0.3% and thus were eligible for calculation of molecular response from paired baseline and 9-week samples. Molecular response values were significantly lower in patients with an objective radiologic response (log mean 1.25% v 27.7%, P < .001). Patients achieving a DCB had significantly lower molecular response values compared to patients with no durable benefit (log mean 3.5% v 49.4%, P < .001). Molecular responders had significantly longer progression-free survival (hazard ratio, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.13 to 0.50) and overall survival (hazard ratio, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.12 to 0.64) compared with molecular nonresponders. CONCLUSION Molecular response assessment using circulating tumor DNA may serve as a noninvasive, on-therapy predictor of response to pembrolizumab-based therapy in addition to standard of care imaging in mNSCLC. This strategy requires validation in independent prospective studies.