Is pathological complete response predictable after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer? A single institution's retrospective experience.

BACKGROUND:Pathological complete response (pCR), in breast cancers, after neoadjuvant chemotherapy is linked to improved survival. Determining complete response to chemotherapy prior to surgery has remained elusive even using a combination of pathological factors and imaging modalities, making surgery still a necessity. METHODS:A retrospective analysis was performed from a single institution from 2013 to 2018. Breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy with pre- and post-chemotherapy magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were included. Patients receiving other neoadjuvant modalities were excluded. Imaging characteristics, including response to chemotherapy and pathological factors, were recorded. RESULTS:Analysis showed 134 patients were identified with 40/134 (29.9%) noted to have radiological complete response and 34/134 (25.6%) had pCR. The positive predictive value for MRI to detect pCR was greatest for oestrogen receptor (ER) negative and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) negative tumours at 81.8% and worst for ER+ HER2- tumours at 25%. The negative predictive value was greatest for ER+ HER2- tumours at 93.9% and worst for ER- HER2- tumours at 77.4%. CONCLUSION:MRI after neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer even combined with tumour factors is not an accurate predictor of pCR.