A Sequential Learning Algorithm for Probabilistically Robust Controller Tuning

In this paper, we introduce a sequential learning algorithm to address a probabilistically robust controller tuning problem. The algorithm leverages ideas from the areas of randomised algorithms and ordinal optimisation, which have both been proposed to find approximate solutions for difficult design problems in control. We formally prove that our algorithm yields a controller which meets a specified probabilisitic performance specification, assuming a Gaussian or near-Gaussian copula model for the controller performances. Additionally, we are able to characterise the computational requirement of the algorithm by using a lower bound on the distribution function of the algorithm's stopping time. To validate our work, the algorithm is then demonstrated for the purpose of tuning model predictive controllers on a diesel engine air-path. It is shown that the algorithm is able to successfully tune a single controller to meet a desired performance threshold, even in the presence of uncertainty in the diesel engine model, that is inherent when a single representation is used across a fleet of vehicles.