Strategic Management on Transport by Evacuation of Population in Case of Natural Disasters

This article gives a quantitative analysis of victims in earthquakes. It shows the ratio of victims to the population living in disasters areas. Using the normal law of probability distribution, it proposes a new approach and methodology for calculating the sanitary losses of the population and the required number of evacuation trains for evacuation by rail from the zones of natural disasters. The findings determine recommendations for predicting the possible health consequences of earthquakes and the need for evacuation trains that will significantly reduce human losses.