Predictors of postoperative atrial fibrillation persisting beyond hospital discharge after coronary artery bypass grafting

Objective: Minimal invasive extracorporeal circuits (MiECC) have been associated with a significant reduction in the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF). Nevertheless, AF remains one of the most common complications following elective primary coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). The aim of this study was to identify the predictors of AF persisting beyond the hospital stay in elective primary CABG patients. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis for the predictors of AF that persisted beyond discharge between all patients who received an elective isolated CABG in our institution between 2009 and 2014. Patients with a positive history for intermittent or persistent AF were excluded from the analysis. Almost all patients were discharged to a rehabilitation facility where they stayed for 3 to 4 weeks postoperatively. At rehab approximately 91% of them received Holter monitoring at least once prior to their discharge. Results: A total of 770 patients were included in the analysis of which 763 patients survived the in-hospital stay. The incidence of AF at hospital discharge was 4.2% (32/763) while that on Holter monitor at Rehab was 1.5% (10/685). Age and the type of extracorporeal circuit (ECC) utilized were the only significant predictors for both AF at discharge (p < 0.01 both) and on Holter monitor in rehab (p < 0.01 and 0.02, respectively). This was also confirmed on multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Our findings show that the benefits of MiECC regarding the incidence of postoperative AF persist beyond hospital discharge. They may thus positively influence the outcomes of patients beyond the early postoperative period.