How many COVID-19 PCR positive individuals do we expect to see on the Diamond Princess cruise ship?

Jing Qin,Fang Chen,Huijuan Ma,Yukun Liu,Dean Follmann,Yong Zhou

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences（2020）

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摘要

In contrast to the officially reported 634 individuals with PCR-positive results after the 14 day quarantine, which as of April 27, 2020 had increased to 712, we conclude that this number should be at least 1000. The discrepancy might be caused by the false-negative result of the PCR test or the occurrence of infection after the test.

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