A full scale agent based model of Lombardy COVID 19 dynamics to explore social networks connectivity and vaccine impact on epidemic

medRxiv(2020)

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摘要
UNSTRUCTURED COVID-19 outbreak is an awful event. However it gives to the scientists the possibility to test theories about epidemic. The aim of this contribution is to propose a individual-based model of Lombardy COVID-19 outbreak at full-scale, where full-scale means that will be simulated all the 10 millions inhabitant population of Lombardy person by person, in a commercial computer. All this to test the impact of our daily actions in epidemic, investigate social networks connectivity and in the end have an insight on the impact of an hypothetical vaccine.
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