Relationship between prediagnostic body mass index trajectory and colorectal adenomas: an analysis of the PLCO cancer screening trial.

Background: Studies on the relationship between lifetime body mass index (BMI) trajectory and colorectal premalignant precursor lesions are limited. This study aimed to assess the relationship between prediagnostic adulthood BMI trajectory and the risk of colorectal adenomas using data from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) cancer screening trial. Methods: In total, 39,824 participants in the intervention arm of the prospective PLCO cohort, who have undergone at least one colonoscopy or sigmoidoscopy examination with a confirmed diagnosis of colorectal adenomas, were enrolled and divided into four groups (underweight, normal weight, overweight, and obese) according to BMI during each age period. SAS Proc Traj was used to establish the BMI trajectory model. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Compared with normal weight, overweight or obesity significantly increased colorectal adenomas risk in each age period after 30 years. Specifically, obesity in the 50s was most closely related to colorectal adenomas risk [HR: 1.32, 95% CI: (1.22, 1.43)]. BMI gain from the age of 40 to 50 [HR: 1.25, 95% CI: (1.11, 1.42)] showed the strongest correlation with an increased incidence of colorectal adenomas, followed by that from the age of 30 to 50 [HR: 1.19, 95% CI: (1.10, 1.29)], the age of 20 to 50 [HR: 1.16, 95% CI: (1.10, 1.24)], the age of 20 to 40 [HR: 1.14, 95% CI: (1.05, 1.23)], and the age of 20 to 30 [HR: 1.13, 95% CI: (1.02, 1.26)]. Additionally, compared with those who maintained normal weight throughout adulthood, those who progressed from normal weight to obesity [HR: 1.15, 95% CI: (1.06, 1.25)], or from overweight to obesity [HR: 1.33, 95% CI: (1.11, 1.61)], had a higher risk of colorectal adenomas. Conclusions: Overweight and obesity increased the risk of colorectal adenomas, and this risk increased with advancing age.