A Personalized Prediction Model For Hospital Readmission Risk For Cancer Patients.

JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY(2020)

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摘要
7057Background: Cancer patients (pts) are at high risk of unplanned hospital readmissions. Predicting which cancer patients are at higher risk of readmission would improve post-discharge follow-up/navigation, decrease cost, and improve pt outcomes. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of non-surgical cancer pts hospitalized at our center between 12/2014 to 7/2018. A machine learning algorithm was trained on 348 medical, sociodemographic and cancer-specific variables with a total of 1,801,944 data points. The cohort was randomly divided into training (80%) and validation (20%) subsets. Prediction performance was measured by area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC). Results: A total of 5,178 hospitalizations were included, of which 45.1% were women, and 27.6% experienced an unplanned readmission within 30 days. The most frequently represented cancers were …
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