Detecting abrupt changes in high-dimensional self-exciting poisson processes

STATISTICA SINICA(2023)

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摘要
High-dimensional self-exciting point processes are widely used to model discrete event data in which past and current events affect the likelihood of future events. In this study, we detect abrupt changes in the coefficient matrices of discretetime high-dimensional self-exciting Poisson processes, which have yet to be studied because of the theoretical and computational challenges in the nonstationary and high-dimensional nature of the underlying process. We propose a penalized dynamic programming approach, supported by a theoretical rate analysis and numerical evidence.
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关键词
High-dimensional statistics,penalized dynamic program-ming,piecewise stationarity,self-exciting Poisson process
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