A Stochastic Epidemic Model Of Covid-19 Disease

AIMS MATHEMATICS(2020)

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摘要
To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynamics of such diseases.
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关键词
COVID-19, SIR model, reproduction number
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