Adapting scenarios for climate adaptation: Practitioners’ perspectives on a popular planning method

James R.A. Butler, Anne Marte Bergseng,Erin Bohensky,Simona Pedde,Matt Aitkenhead, Rohan Hamden

Environmental Science & Policy(2020)

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摘要
•Scenario planning for climate adaptation is increasingly popular but has not been evaluated.•We present reflections from practitioners at the European Climate Change Adaptation conference.•Participatory processes focussed locally over short (<20 year) timeframes were most effective.•Scenario planning did not sufficiently engage in decision-making processes, limiting outcomes.•Reflexive ‘transient scenarios’ embedded in iterative adaptation pathways were recommended.
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关键词
Adaptation,Climate change,Decision-making,Futures,Participation,Politics
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