Modification of the tumor response threshold in patients of advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with chemotherapy plus targeted agents: a pooled study from five clinical trials in one institution

Background: Chemotherapy with targeted therapy is a promising therapeutic option for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) criteria were used in tumor response evaluation. We assumed an optimal threshold for this therapeutic setting and tried to seek a new tumor shrinkage cutoff with the data from five clinical trials in one institution. Methods: The X-tile program was used to identify the optimal cut-off value of tumor shrinkage. PFS and OS were compared in the current study. Kaplan-Meier method was used to describe PFS and OS. 95% CI was calculated for PFS and OS outcomes to assess the treatment efficacy. A P value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. SPSS 23.0 was used for all statistical analysis. Results: X-tile analysis yielded -10% in the Delta SIA) of the target lesions as the optimal threshold for response/non-response. The 10% tumor shrinkage could discriminate responders from non-responders in PFS (10.1 vs. 2.50 months, P=0.0007) and OS (23.00 vs. 7.66 months, P<0.0001). Univariate and multivariable analysis showed that 10% tumor shrinkage was a valid prognostic factor for PFS (P=0.018) and OS outcome (P<0.0001). Conclusions: A 10.0% tumor shrinkage in the SLD indicated an indicative efficacy evaluation threshold for NSCLC patients treated with chemotherapy plus targeted agents.