Long-term outcome of biopsy-proven cholesterol crystal embolism

Background Cholesterol crystal embolism (CCE) causes renal damage, and there is an extremely high risk of end-stage renal disease. However, the time course of CCE-related renal deterioration varies and little is known about the subsequent risk of dialysis among patients with biopsy-proven CCE. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study of 38 Japanese patients in whom a histological diagnosis of CCE was made from September 1992 to July 2005. Competing risk regression analysis was used to investigate the association between declining renal function ( ≥ 1.5 elevation of serum creatinine within 26 weeks after CCE) or its subtypes (acute [ < 1 week after CCE], subacute [1 to < 6 weeks], and chronic [6 to < 26 weeks]) and the risk of dialysis, with adjustment for age, baseline serum creatinine, and the precipitating event (iatrogenic or spontaneous). Results During a median follow-up period of 25.9 weeks, 14 patients (35.9%) started dialysis. Multivariable analysis showed that patients with declining renal function had a higher risk of commencing dialysis than those without declining function (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 9.47; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34–66.8). Patients with different renal presentations had a similarly increased risk of commencing dialysis, with the risk being significantly higher for the subacute and chronic patterns of declining renal function (adjusted SHR [95% CI] for acute, subacute, and chronic declining renal function[vs. no decline]: 7.36 [0.85–63.6], 11.9 [1.36–101], and 10.7 [1.49–77.0], respectively). Conclusion Declining renal function after CCE, even later than 6 weeks, was significantly associated with the subsequent risk of dialysis.