Nomogram For Predicting Overall Survival (Os) In Patients (Pts) Treated With Liposomal Irinotecan (Nal-Iri) +/- 5-Fluorouracil/Leucovorin (5-Fu/Lv) In Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (Mpdac) Previously Treated With Gemcitabine-Based Therapy In Napoli-1

459Background: Results from NAPOLI-1 (NCT01494506), a phase 3 study in pts with mPDAC previously treated with gemcitabine-based therapy, demonstrated an improvement in OS (primary endpoint), progression-free survival, and objective response rate with nal-IRI+5-FU/LV vs 5-FU/LV. The MPACT study reported a nomogram to predict OS using baseline pt variables in previously untreated mPDAC. We conducted an exploratory post hoc analysis of NAPOLI-1 variables to develop a nomogram to predict OS in the post-gemcitabine setting. Methods: In NAPOLI-1, pts were randomized to receive nal-IRI 80 mg/m2 q2w + 5-FU/LV, nal-IRI 100 mg/m2 q3w, or 5-FU/LV. Univariate and multivariate analyses determined factors significantly predictive of OS. A multivariable Cox model was created using these factors to develop a nomogram that assigned points equal to the weighted sum of relative significance of each variable. Predictive accuracy of the nomogram as measured by the concordance index (c-index) was evaluated by internal bootstra...