Global sensitivity analysis in the context of imprecise probabilities (p-boxes) using sparse polynomial chaos expansions.

Reliability Engineering & System Safety(2019)

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摘要
•Global sensitivity analysis is extended to the context of imprecise probability theory (parametric p-boxes).•Imprecise Sobol’ indices are defined and computed from a sparse polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) of the computational model.•The sparse PCE is built in an augmented space of input parameters and associated hyperparameters.•A smart experimental design using phantom points is devised to reduce the number of runs of the computational model.
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关键词
Uncertainty quantification,Global sensitivity analysis,Epistemic uncertainty,Polymorphic uncertainty,Probability-boxes,Imprecise Sobol’ indices,Sparse polynomial chaos expansions
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