Behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with saturated incidence and vaccination rules

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications(2018)

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摘要
In this paper, the threshold behavior of a susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) epidemic model with stochastic perturbation is investigated. Firstly, it is obtained that the system has a unique global positive solution with any positive initial value. Random effect may lead to disease extinction under a simple condition. Subsequently, sufficient condition for persistence has been established in the mean of the disease. Finally, some numerical simulations are carried out to confirm the analytical results.
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关键词
Stochastic,Vaccination,Extinction,Persistence in the mean
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