The land management tool: Developing a climate service in Southwest UK

Pete Falloon,Marta Bruno Soares,R. Manzanas,Daniel San-Martin,Felicity Liggins, Inika Taylor,R. Kahana,John Wilding, Ceris Jones,Ruth E. Comer, Ernst de Vreede,Wim Som de Cerff,Carlo Buontempo,Anca Brookshaw, Simon Stanley, Ross Middleham, Daisy Pittams,Ellen Lawrence, Emily Bate, Hannah Peter, Katherine Uzell, Matt Richards

Climate Services(2018)

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摘要
Seasonal climate forecasts (SCFs) have significant potential to support shorter-term agricultural decisions and longer-term climate adaptation plans, but uptake in Europe has to date been low. Under the European Union funded project, European Provision Of Regional Impacts Assessments on Seasonal and Decadal Timescales (EUPORIAS) we have developed the Land Management Tool (LMTool), a prototype seasonal climate service for land managers, working closely in collaboration with two stakeholder organizations, Clinton Devon Estates (CDE) and the National Farmers Union (NFU). LMTool was one of several prototype climate services selected for development within EUPORIAS, including those for the UK transport network, food security in Ethiopia, renewable energy production, hydroelectric energy production in Sweden, and river management in two French basins. The LMTool provides SCFs (1–3months ahead) to farmers in the Southwest UK, alongside 14-day site specific weather forecasts during the winter months when the skill of seasonal forecasts is greatest.
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