Ventricular shape evaluation on early ultrasound predicts post-hemorrhagic hydrocephalus

BACKGROUND To compare the ability of ventricular morphology on cranial ultrasound (CUS) versus standard clinical variables to predict the need for temporizing cerebrospinal fluid drainage in newborns with intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH). Method This is a retrospective study of newborns (gestational age <29 weeks) diagnosed with IVH. Clinical variables known to increase the risk for post-hemorrhagic hydrocephalus were collected. The first CUS with IVH was identified and a slice in the coronal plane was selected. The frontal horns of the lateral ventricles were manually segmented. Automated quantitative morphological features were extracted from both lateral ventricles. Predictive models of the need of temporizing intervention were compared. Results Sixty-two newborns met inclusion criteria. Fifteen out of the 62 had a temporizing intervention. The morphological features had a better accuracy predicting temporizing interventions when compared to clinical variables: 0.94 versus 0.85, respectively; p < 0.01 for both. By considering both morphological and clinical variables, our method predicts the need of temporizing intervention with positive and negative predictive values of 0.83 and 1, respectively, and accuracy of 0.97. Conclusion Early cranial ultrasound-based quantitative ventricular evaluation in premature newborns can predict the eventual use of a temporizing intervention to treat post-hemorrhagic hydrocephalus. This may be helpful for early monitoring and treatment.