When and how much to invest? Investment and capacity choice under product life cycle uncertainty.

European Journal of Operational Research(2017)

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摘要
•We introduce a novel real option model considering the life cycle of a product.•We solve simultaneously for optimal timing and optimal capacity choice.•Model is applied to a case study on producing batteries for electric vehicles.•Investment threshold follows S-curve, segmented regarding optimal capacity choice.•Optimal capacity choice depends on degree of uncertainty in product life cycle.
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关键词
OR in research and development,Bass model based product life cycle,Electric vehicle battery,Real option,Capacity choice
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