Reconstructing past sea ice cover of the Northern Hemisphere from dinocyst assemblages: status of the approach

Dinocysts occur in a wide range of environmental conditions, including polar areas. We review here their use for the reconstruction of paleo sea ice cover in such environments. In the Arctic Ocean and subarctic seas characterized by dense sea ice cover, Islandinium minutum, Islandinium? cezare, Echinidinium karaense, Polykrikos sp. var. Arctic, Spiniferites elongatus–frigidus and Impagidinium pallidum are common and often occur with more cosmopolitan taxa such as Operculodinium centrocarpum sensu Wall & Dale, cyst of Pentapharsodinium dalei and Brigantedinium spp. Canonical correspondence analyses conducted on dinocyst assemblages illustrate relationships with sea surface parameters such as salinity, temperature, and sea ice cover. The application of the modern analogue technique permits quantitative reconstruction of past sea ice cover, which is expressed in terms of seasonal extent of sea ice cover (months per year with more than 50% of sea ice concentration) or mean annual sea ice concentration (in tenths). The accuracy of reconstructions or root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) is ±1.1 over 10, which corresponds to perennial sea ice. Such an error is close to the interannual variability (standard deviation) of observed sea ice cover. Mismatch between the time interval of instrumental data used as reference (1953–2000) and the time interval represented by dinocyst populations in surface sediment samples, which may cover decades if not centuries, is another source of error. Despite uncertainties, dinocyst assemblages are useful for making quantitative reconstruction of seasonal sea ice cover.