Comparing World Economic And Net Energy Metrics, Part 2: Total Economy Expenditure Perspective

ENERGIES(2015)

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摘要
We translate between energetic and economic metrics that characterize the role of energy in the economy. Specifically, we estimate monetary expenditures for the primary energy and net external power ratio (NEPRdirect ; NEPR, net external power ratio), a power return ratio of annual energy production divided by annual direct energy inputs within the energy industry. We estimate these on an annualized basis for forty-four countries from 1978 to 2010. Expressed as a fraction of gross domestic product (GDP), f(e,GDP), the forty-four country aggregate (composing >90% world GDP) worldwide expenditures on energy decreased from a maximum of 10.3% in 1979 to a minimum of 3.0% in 1998 before increasing to a second peak of 8.1% in 2008. While the global f(e,GDP) fluctuates significantly, global NEPRdirect declined from a value of 34 in 1980 to 17 in 1986 before staying in a range between 14 and 16 from 1991 to 2010. In comparing both of these metrics as ratios of power output over power input, one economic (f(e,GDP)(-1)) and one biophysical (NEPRdirect), we see that when the former divided by the latter is below unity, the world was in a low-growth or recessionary state.
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关键词
energy, net energy, economics, cost share, input-output, transition
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