Short-term wind speed forecasting with Markov-switching model

Applied Energy(2014)

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摘要
•A Markov-switching model is proposed to forecast wind speed.•A Bayesian inference is introduced to estimate the parameters of the Markov-switching model.•A comparative analysis of Markov-switching model and four baseline models is presented.•The Markov-switching model is promising in wind speed forecasting based on computational results.
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关键词
Time series,Forecasting,Wind power,Markov chain,Regime switching
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