Estimating the time since fire of long-unburnt Eucalyptus salubris (Myrtaceae) stands in the Great Western Woodlands

Establishing the time since fire in infrequently burnt, yet fire-prone, communities is a significant challenge. Until this can be resolved for >50-year timeframes, our capacity to understand important ecological processes, such as the periods required for development of habitat features, will remain limited. We characterised the relationship between observable tree growth rings, plant age and plant size in Eucalyptus salubris F.Muell. in the globally significant Great Western Woodlands in south-western Australia. In the context of recent concerns regarding high woodland fire occurrence, we then used this approach to estimate the age of long-unburnt E. salubris stands, and the age-class distribution of Eucalyptus woodlands across the region. Time since fire was strongly predicted by trunk growth rings and plant size predicted growth rings with reasonable accuracy. The best model estimating growth rings contained parameters for trunk diameter, plant height and plot location, although simple models including either trunk diameter or plant height were nearly as good. Using growth ring-size relationships to date long-unburnt stands represents a significant advance over the current approach based on satellite imagery, which substantially truncates post-fire age. However, there was significant uncertainty over the best model form for estimating the time since fire of stands last burnt over 200 years ago. The management implications of predicted age-class distributions were highly dependent on both the choice of what, if any, transformation was applied to growth rings, and the theoretical age-class distribution to which the actual age-class distribution was compared.