Modeling the evolutionary demographic processes for geomedicine

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics(2014)

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摘要
We describe the principles for constructing evolutionary demographic models for geomedical statistics. Several variants of evolutionary models are proposed: (1) a model of the evolution of a closed population taking into account distribution by age, (2) a model that takes into account the morbidity and difference in mortality for groups of patients and healthy individuals, (3) a model that takes into account the distribution of different age groups by fertile ability, (4) a migration model that takes into account the population exchange between several localities, and (5) a model of the propagation of infectious diseases. Each model depends on a group of parameters determined from the medical and demographic state of the population. We discuss the possible application of the proposed evolutionary models to geomedical statistics.
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关键词
mathematical demography,evolutionary equations,demographic indicators,distribution by age groups,infectious diseases
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