The Mediating Role Of Cytokine Il-6 On The Relationship Of Fev1 Upon 6-Minute Walk Distance In Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Objectives: To explore the mediating role of protein interleukin-6 (IL-6) on the relationship between forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) and, further, to determine whether status variables (such as age, sex, and body mass index [BMI]) operate as moderators of this mediation relationship.Design: Moderated mediation model.Setting: An inpatient pulmonary rehabilitation center in Italy.Participants: All 153 patients involved in the screening of a randomized controlled clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01253941) were included in this study. All patients were Global initiative for chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stages I-IV and were aged 70.1 +/- 9.1 years.Measurements: At run-in phase of the protocol, clinical and functional screening included BMI, fasting plasma levels of protein (IL-6), spirometry, and standardized 6-minute walking test, measured at the start of the respiratory rehabilitation program.Methods: The size of the indirect effect of the initial variable (FEV1) upon the outcome variable (6MWD) through the intervening variable (IL-6) was computed and tested for statistical significance. Moderated mediation analyses were subsequently conducted with age, sex, and BMI.Results: FEV1 averaged 53.4%+/- 21.2%, and 6MWD 66.4%+/- 41.3% of predicted. Median protein IL-6 was 6.68 pg/mL (interquartile range: 5.96). A bootstrapped mediation test supported the predicted indirect pathway (P=0.003). The indirect effect through IL-6 log units accounted for 17% of the total effect between FEV1 and 6MWD. Age functioned as a significant moderator of the mediational pattern. For individuals aged,70 years, the standardized indirect effect was significant (0.122, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.044-0.254, P=0.004), and for individuals >70 years it was not significant (0.04, 95% CI: -0.010 to 0.142, P=0.10).Conclusion: This moderated mediation result based on concurrent data suggests, but does not prove, a causal role of systemic inflammatory syndrome on progression from functional impairment to "frailty" status and substantial disability in aging chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.