Uncertainty theories and methods for ecological planning of small sized towns
TRANSACTIONS OF NONFERROUS METALS SOCIETY OF CHINA(2004)
摘要
Large numbers of uncertainties in small sized towns as well as the ecological planning process are analyzed, and the analytical methods for uncertainty are discussed including sensitivity analysis, error function transmission analysis, cybernetics approach and uncertainty mathematical methodologies such as stochastic approach, fuzzy approach, interval algorithm approach, unascertained mathematical approach, etc. Based on the uncertainty analysis, it is further proposed of the idea of "elasticity planning", including the flexibility of planning objective and planning scheme. The goat of the idea lies in both the developing requirement of ecological level of small-sized towns and the restriction of various uncertainty factors, and the idea has stronger practicability than traditional ecological planning.
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关键词
urban ecological planning,uncertainty,flexible planning
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