A General Method of Incorporating Forecast Cost and Loss in Value Scores

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW(2010)

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摘要
In this note, the author shows how to incorporate cost for correct forecasts in the skill score statistical test developed by Briggs and Ruppert and how to extend this result to another value score developed by Wilks. It is then shown that both of these methods are special cases of a more general complete value score, where the loss and costs are allowed to be completely general.
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statistical test
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