A dynamic traffic forecasting application on the Amsterdam beltway

This article presents some theoretical developments that have resulted in a dynamic traffic forecasting procedure that is feasible both from a technical viewpoint (data availability) and from a practical viewpoint (data preparation). The procedure consists of a dynamic origin—destination (OD) matrix estimation module and a dynamic traffic assignment module. The OD-estimation module is an extension of traditional (static) OD-estimation methods, i.e. production—attraction models combined with the use of a deterrence function. To make the procedure computationally feasible an efficient parameter estimation method has been provided.