The Power of Play: Efficiency and Forecast Accuracy in Web Market Games

    2000.

    Cited by: 71|Bibtex|Views11|
    Keywords:
    arbitragestock exchangeworld wide web

    Abstract:

    We analyze the efficiency and forecast accuracy of two market games on the World Wide Web: the Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX) and the Foresight Exchange (FX). We quantify the degree of arbitrage available on HSX, and compare with a real-money market of a similar nature. We show that prices of HSX movie stocks provide good forecasts of ac...More

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