Retrieval Performance

In the course of eight TREC Conferences, retrieval performance of all systems started high and then declined. This was especially true for conference 5. Only in conferences 7 and 8 have performance levels reached those initially achieved. In this paper, scaling of the corpus of 450 TREC topics is performed. It is observed that as the visual dispersion of a topic set increases, the level of retrieval performance across systems declines for that set. Conversely, as the visual dispersion of topics decreases, system performance rises. In common elements of conferences 2, 5, and 8, this relationship appears to hold despite increases in the number of participating systems in TREC. It is proposed that visual dispersion measures should be used to describe topic set difficulty in addition to measures such as "hardness".