Socially embedded multi agent based simulation of financial market

Proceedings of the 6th international joint conference on Autonomous agents and multiagent systems(2007)

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摘要
This paper proposed a new approach that integrated an artificial market simulation and text-mining with real information. In this approach, economic trends were extracted from text data circulating in the real world. Then, the trends were inputted into the market simulation. The simulation could support users' action to the actual market. This approach was used for the decision of exchange rate policy and suggested that the operation by intervention was effective for the stabilization of the yen-dollar rate in 1995. Our simulation revealed that the action rule proposed by our system could reduce over 70% of rate fluctuation. This approach can offer a useful social simulation as a tool to users.
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关键词
action rule,artificial market simulation,exchange rate policy,useful social simulation,actual market,yen-dollar rate,real information,financial market,rate fluctuation,new approach,market simulation,embedded multi agent,social simulation,decision support system,text mining
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